### 经济代写|产业经济学代写Industrial Economics代考|ECON3121

statistics-lab™ 为您的留学生涯保驾护航 在代写产业经济学Industrial Economics方面已经树立了自己的口碑, 保证靠谱, 高质且原创的统计Statistics代写服务。我们的专家在代写产业经济学Industrial Economics代写方面经验极为丰富，各种代写产业经济学Industrial Economics相关的作业也就用不着说。

• Statistical Inference 统计推断
• Statistical Computing 统计计算
• Advanced Probability Theory 高等概率论
• Advanced Mathematical Statistics 高等数理统计学
• (Generalized) Linear Models 广义线性模型
• Statistical Machine Learning 统计机器学习
• Longitudinal Data Analysis 纵向数据分析
• Foundations of Data Science 数据科学基础

## 经济代写|产业经济学代写Industrial Economics代考|Consumer goods industry

The textile and wearing apparel industry remained sluggish. From January to May 2016 , the industrial value added of the textile industry, the Manufacture of Textile, Wearing Apparel and Accessories as well as the leather, fur and feather products and shoemaking industry grew $7.4,5.2$ and $3.7 \%$ year on year respectively, rising by $-0.3,0$ and $0.1$ percentage points respectively as against the first quarter of this

year and by $0.4,0.8$ and $-1.2$ percentage points as against the growth rates in the whole year of $2015 .$

The textile and wearing apparel industry was greeted with a slight pickup in its earnings growth rate. From January to May 2016 , the total profits of the textile industry and the Manufacture of Textile, Wearing Apparel and Accessories grew $6.9$ and $7.3 \%$ respectively, rising by $0.2$ and $0.4$ percentage points respectively over the first quarter of this year and by $1.8$ and $3.3$ percentage points as against the growth rates in the whole year of 2015 . From January to May, the total profits of the leather, fur and feather products and shoemaking industry grew $4.9 \%$, decreasing $2.4$ percentage points as against the first quarter of this year.

The textile and wearing apparel industry first took a turn for the better. From January to May 2016 , the export delivery values of the textile industry and the leather, fur and feather products and shoemaking industry grew $0.7$ and $1.9 \%$ year on year respectively, rising by $0.5$ and $1.3$ percentage points respectively over the first quarter of this year; the Manufacture of Textile, Wearing Apparel and Accessories continued the negative growth trend in its export volume, but the decreasing amplitude tended to narrow (Table $1.7$ and Fig. 1.15).

Differentiation of the food industry: From January to May 2016 , the industrial value added of the farm and sideline food processing industry, the food manufacturing industry and the wine, beverage and refined tea manufacturing industry grew $6.2,8.7$ and $6.1 \%$ respectively year on year, $0.6,0.1$ and $-1.1$ percentage points higher as against the first quarter of this year respectively and rising by $0.7$, $1.2$ and $-1.6$ percentage points respectively as against the whole year of 2015 . Since the beginning of this year, the growth rate of industrial value added of tobacco industry witnessed a sharp decline, but the decreasing amplitude tended to narrow on a monthly basis. From January to May, the value added of tobacco industry dropped $12.0 \%$ year on year, narrowing by $1.4$ percentage points as against the first quarter of this year. In the first quarter of 2016 , the drastic downsizing of cigarette production in China led to severe situation of commercial sales of tobacco products.

## 经济代写|产业经济学代写Industrial Economics代考|Profits dropped

Profits dropped in tobacco industry and wine, beverage and refined tea manufacturing industries but improved markedly in farm and sideline food processing industry and food manufacturing industry. From January to May, the prime operating revenue and total profit of the farm and sideline food processing industry grew $5.7 \%$ and $11.7 \%$ year on year respectively, $0.6$ and $-0.4$ percentage points respectively higher than the first quarter of this year and $2.2$ and $5.3$ percentage points respectively over the previous year; the prime operating revenue and total profit of the food manufacturing industry grew $7.8$ and $15.1 \%$ year on year respectively, $0.3$ and $-2.4$ percentage points higher than the first quarter of this year and $1.5$ and $6.0$ percentage points respectively higher than the previous year; the prime operating revenue and total profit of the wine, beverage and refined manufacturing industries grew $5.6$ and $3.0 \%$ year on year respectively, $1.1$ and $9.0$ percentage points lower than the first quarter of this year and $0.8$ and $4.5$ percentage points lower than the previous year; and the prime operating revenue and total profit of the tobacco industry declined $11.7$ and $24.0 \%$ year on year respectively, $0.6$ and 7.0 percentage point lower than the first quarter of this year and $17.2$ and $22.6$ percentage points lower than the previous year.

The export volume of the farm and sideline food processing industry and the food manufacturing industry turned for the better while the export growth rate of the tobacco industry and the wine, beverage and refined tea manufacturing industries just reversed. From January to May 2016, the export delivery value of the farm and sideline food processing industries and the food manufacturing industry grew $0.0 \%$ and $10.5 \%$ year on year respectively, $1.9$ and $0.1$ percentage point respectively higher than the first quarter of this year, and $6.8$ and $9.4$ percentage points respectively higher than the previous year; the export delivery value of the tobacco industry and the wine, beverage and refined tea manufacturing industries grew $6.1$ and $9.0 \%$ year on year respectively, descending by $5.6$ and $34.3$ percentage points respectively from the first quarter of this year (Table 1.8).

The pharmaceutical industry maintained a high-level growth. The pharmaceutical industry is typically viewed as an industry against the economic circle, i.e. the more sluggish the economic growth is, the greater the demand for medicines will become and the faster the pharmaceutical industry will grow. From January to May 2016 , the Industrial value added of the pharmaceutical industry grew $10.2 \%$ year on year, $1.0$ percentage point higher than the first quarter of this year and $0.3$ percentage points higher than the previous year (Fig. 1.16).

## 经济代写|产业经济学代写Industrial Economics代考|Forecast and Prospect of Industrial

Variations in the industrial economics operation may take place in tendency and cycle. Since the year of 2010 , the growth rate of China’s industrial economics seemingly has the tendency towards slowing down. While the tendency variable factors played a leading role in the slowdown of industrial economics operation, the cyclical factors played a key role. Main factors acting on tendency variation included: (i) capital accumulation, (ii) variation in labor force and its qualities, and (iii) technical progress. Cyclical variation was largely subject to short-time simulative monetary and fiscal policy and to variability of requirement space. Currently, due to declining marginal rate of capital return, there would be a downturn in the pace of capital accumulation. Variation in labor force and its qualities took little effect in a short term, but technical progress would hopefully become a supporting factor for this round of industrial economic growths. The drop-offs in global demand and domestic investment constituted a realistic basis for the government to implement a proactive fiscal and monetary policy.

In this report, the time sequence model is used to simulate the growth rates of industrial economics under various circumstances. According to the simulation results, (1) the slowing down tendency will continue; $(2)$ the proactive financial and monetary policy plays a significant role in easing the fluctuations of industrial economics growth; and (3) the technical progress will be the main supporting force for industrial economic growth.

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